A FUTURE NUMBER ONE?
Such was how Ernie Els described Northern Ireland’s 19-year-old prodigy Rory McIlroy last week at the WGC Accenture Match Play event, and with McIlroy’s earlier win in Dubai, plus a solid run to the round of eight at the Match Play, such prognostications seem not altogether off the wall.
Of course, Big Ernie was obviously not suggesting an imminent ascension by McIlroy, but rather a long-term climb into position so that when Tiger Woods’s time inevitably comes, McIlroy will be poised to step forward. It seems as viable a scenario as any for the eventual post-Tiger era, except for one small question:
Might Geoff Ogilvy get there first?
Ogilvy, the 31-year-old 2006 U.S. Open champion, won the Match Play going away, taking out McIlroy and fellow up-and-comer Camilo Villegas (among others) before laying waste to England’s Paul Casey in the 36-hole final, the eventual 4 & 3 victory margin somewhat belying the one-sided nature of the match. The win was Ogilvy’s second of the young American season (he previously captured the Mercedes Championship in January) and his third in as many months – though his victory at December’s Australian PGA flew somewhat beneath the radar here in the U.S. The Match Play triumph also moved him up to number four in the Official World Ranking, with an average points total of 6.40. This leaves him reasonably within sight of numbers two and three – Sergio Garcia and Phil Mickelson – and not so wildly far behind perennial number one Woods, whose long absence has seen his once astronomical points average drop to 9.44.
Can Ogilvy actually catch Tiger?
As with Els’s musings regarding McIlroy, any such talk is predicated on Woods not returning to a level of play that sees him pocketing at least one Major championship annually, and dominating week in and week out. Therefore, a better question might be whether Ogilvy can elevate his game that little remaining distance to take a firm hold on the number two spot...and then see what happens.
I should mention that I am biased here; Ogilvy and I have several mutual friends, and I find his traditionalist views on the game and keen understanding of course design enormously refreshing in this era of largely disinterested touring professionals. But that said, he has long struck me as an eventual number two, largely because of his tremendous all-around game but also due his relative unflappability. For in an era when many of golf’s best have frequently collapsed in Woods’ presence, Ogilvy’s coolness under fire is a terribly valuable commodity. All that’s been missing has been a slightly greater element of consistency – that ability to bring it every week (or at least all of the weeks that really count) – but with two wins in his first five 2009 American starts, perhaps that’s coming. With such important landmarks as marriage and child birth now in his rearview, and as he hits his peak physical years, now would certainly seem like the time...
Meanwhile, halfway around the globe, another important victory was claimed, this time by world number one Lorena Ochoa, whose closing 66 allowed her to comfortably make up a three-shot deficit to third-round leader Paula Creamer and win the Honda LPGA Thailand going away. Why so important? Because while the second half of Ochoa’s 2008 was hardly a disaster, it fell far shy of her stunning first half, at least opening up the possibility that her anticipated long run at number one might be shortened by the imminent maturation of players like Yani Tseng, Paula Creamer and, especially, Ji-Yai Shin. One week in Thailand does not by itself eradicate such possibilities, but it certainly sets a tone as we move forward...into this week’s HSBC Women’s Championship in Singapore, where these four, plus 13 more of the world top 20 will do battle.
Even in a floundering economy, and despite a clueless Commissioner, the LPGA can still put on a damned good show.
Daniel
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